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本帖最后由 紫光 于 2010-11-3 21:39 编辑
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, l5 | V- X0 Q/ D. WThe US dollar was under pressure following a slightly more aggressive QE than the markets had anticipated. The Federal Reserve announced they will purchase an additional $600 billion of longer-term Treasury securities over the next 8 months which comes out to about $75 billion per month. This is compared to forecasts of $500 billion over 6 months and is in addition to the roughly $35 billion per month in reinvestment purchases.
4 D+ s n; ~0 o7 G, }7 d嘿嘿……美国准备印很多很多的钱,不过这个预期已经被PRICE IN了1个多月了。; S0 W) z; b/ e" ~
现在股市标普为例面临1210-1220之间的阻力。5 q8 |% @( ^+ E% Q7 r, x
参见我9月1号的帖子:http://www.edmontonchina.ca/view ... &extra=page%3D2
: H. @- q5 S# N' J从大势上看,突破是迟早的事情,但是我们应该注意一下市场今天都告诉了我们什么。, O& {& p$ p: G" @: v+ G) c
今天的市场风险资产以黄金为例,经历了大起大落。在消息出来之前,黄金自由落体般下跌了30块。而消息是more aggressive,但是黄金未能创出新高。7 m+ z2 D+ @# Y, j& |' G
今天早些时候出来的数据:
4 h; M$ b/ X) k ?7 xEconomic data released earlier showed ADP employment was much better than the expected +20K with a print of +43K for October up from the prior month’s -2K (revised higher from -39K). September factory orders surprised to the upside rising by more than the forecast of +1.6% climbing +2.1% from the prior 0.0 and the October ISM non-manufacturing index advanced to 54.3 (cons. 53.5 prior 53.2). The ISM Chairman mentioned that the ‘slow growth’ indicated by the report is more sustainable than a fast pickup. ) c# ^& C1 e+ h% g3 I: Z5 ]
股市在这些数据的配合下,仅仅小涨。
6 J, u& B% C2 R3 c( _5 Q0 f种种迹象都证明风险资产的上涨长期看还有大幅空间。
5 r; a! ?+ c" K H短期看,OVERDONE。# y) v. D3 W$ v ^+ j
所以关注标普1210-1220的阻力位置。( c/ ?, y- j, J
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至于黄金,很清楚的3浪调整走势,目前是第三浪开始不久,不过不能越过1366。
2 @+ J# x4 \6 ]# y/ P因此可以考虑在1256.50卖出黄金,止损1267。目标大概1280-1285之间。图不知道为什么不能下载,抱歉。 |
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